Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.281848 0.327784 0.380591 0.446182 0.526009 0.620705 0.742573
2025-08-24 0.209496 0.266749 0.340391 0.443729 0.587724 0.785467 1.085154
2025-08-31 0.167128 0.226580 0.309356 0.436360 0.632538 0.935213 1.461293
2025-09-07 0.144476 0.205965 0.297269 0.448217 0.703056 1.139410 2.001672
2025-09-14 0.123728 0.183291 0.276250 0.439284 0.735137 1.287939 2.509789
2025-09-21 0.110417 0.169278 0.265357 0.443270 0.788815 1.491369 3.229202
2025-09-28 0.099025 0.156312 0.253500 0.442220 0.831672 1.687232 4.042632
2025-10-05 0.091893 0.149251 0.250327 0.456150 0.908027 1.984562 5.314080
2025-10-12 0.085354 0.142197 0.245836 0.466221 0.978708 2.297710 6.875466
2025-10-19 0.079548 0.135615 0.241080 0.474543 1.047760 2.637671 8.834120
2025-10-26 0.075188 0.131102 0.239553 0.489436 1.137729 3.081276 11.668316
2025-11-02 0.070372 0.125100 0.234098 0.494202 1.202928 3.483672 14.834129
2025-11-09 0.065637 0.118823 0.227439 0.495472 1.261461 3.906433 18.794505
2025-11-16 0.061025 0.112301 0.219421 0.492013 1.306345 4.313065 23.430777
2025-11-23 0.056565 0.105605 0.210131 0.483521 1.333659 4.672905 28.540524
2025-11-30 0.054105 0.102797 0.209158 0.496925 1.437841 5.438313 38.879880
2025-12-07 0.050368 0.096882 0.200261 0.486796 1.458335 5.838173 47.164994
2025-12-14 0.047883 0.093431 0.196732 0.491311 1.534362 6.584431 62.180636
2025-12-21 0.045302 0.089512 0.191584 0.490121 1.589313 7.272990 79.909467
2025-12-28 0.043830 0.087931 0.191982 0.505910 1.719354 8.542322 115.133215
2026-01-04 0.042236 0.085911 0.191016 0.517333 1.837367 9.881817 164.229538
2026-01-11 0.040660 0.083782 0.189504 0.526777 1.952226 11.357935 235.481601
2026-01-18 0.039503 0.082527 0.190139 0.543689 2.111617 13.428851 364.238881